Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.191673 0.227325 0.267276 0.315294 0.371371 0.434717 0.511631
2025-06-08 0.133327 0.177300 0.231988 0.304718 0.398597 0.515355 0.671213
2025-06-15 0.107008 0.154980 0.219429 0.311745 0.439883 0.610648 0.854511
2025-06-22 0.087907 0.136743 0.206706 0.313258 0.470228 0.691497 1.025173
2025-06-29 0.072495 0.120159 0.192435 0.308606 0.488869 0.755647 1.177292
2025-07-06 0.060827 0.106818 0.180241 0.304132 0.505530 0.816790 1.329639
2025-07-13 0.054845 0.101414 0.179245 0.316342 0.548521 0.921231 1.558012
2025-07-20 0.051700 0.100181 0.184631 0.339254 0.610890 1.061938 1.857779
2025-07-27 0.047574 0.096432 0.184988 0.353227 0.659265 1.183964 2.138314
2025-08-03 0.041953 0.088927 0.177475 0.351934 0.680316 1.261205 2.349465
2025-08-10 0.035765 0.079270 0.164547 0.338728 0.677829 1.296396 2.489301
2025-08-17 0.030284 0.070126 0.151266 0.322920 0.668213 1.317057 2.603757
2025-08-24 0.027295 0.066021 0.147933 0.327339 0.700025 1.421019 2.890314
2025-08-31 0.023283 0.058981 0.137570 0.316095 0.699667 1.464603 3.068291
2025-09-07 0.021317 0.056287 0.136083 0.323342 0.737900 1.587135 3.412647
2025-09-14 0.019188 0.052803 0.132283 0.324907 0.764105 1.687873 3.722866
2025-09-21 0.016928 0.048564 0.126081 0.320091 0.775635 1.759204 3.979122
2025-09-28 0.014981 0.044765 0.120330 0.315460 0.786857 1.830709 4.242336
2025-10-05 0.014174 0.043903 0.121676 0.328098 0.839336 1.996635 4.725214
2025-10-12 0.013950 0.044644 0.127199 0.351811 0.920690 2.234196 5.387893
2025-10-19 0.013290 0.044000 0.129003 0.366271 0.981217 2.430225 5.974709
2025-10-26 0.012035 0.041331 0.124969 0.364933 1.002406 2.537432 6.367646
2025-11-02 0.010468 0.037378 0.116771 0.351266 0.990630 2.565703 6.578533